Monday, 31 August 2015

Conservative commitments- 21, 19 fails



The minimum wage is £6.50. Increasing it to £6.70 is a 3% increase, which is not much given that we still have inflation in some areas. It’s not a promise to help the working poor in any particular way. Raising it to £8 by the end of the decade is about 4% per year. Yes, these are necessary and useful promises, and probably slightly above growth and inflation, but not groundbreaking. It could be worse; they could be promising to scrap or lower the minimum wage.
           But if the Conservatives wanted to help low-paid workers (and bolster demand in the wider economy, cut government expenditure on tax credits and remove market-distorting subsidies on low wages) they could offer the living wage, of £7.65 per hour. That would be an 18% increase, so the Conservatives are 1/6 of the way there. Right direction, wrong amount.
           2013 figures are that 4.8 million people earned less than the living wage. The low pay commission estimates that there are 1,386,000 minimum wage jobs. If we assume that all these people work 40-hour weeks, we find that keeping the minimum wage too low costs poor people £3.3 billion in total per year, well over £2,000 per person. There are plenty of other people earning less than a living wage but not the absolute minimum, so the overall suffering is much larger.

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